Rate Strategy May 1, 2026 7 min read

Should You Buy Down Your Mortgage Rate? Here's the Break-Even Math

This question comes up in nearly every pre-approval conversation I have. Mortgage points — also called discount points — let you pay cash upfront at closing to permanently lower your interest rate. Whether it makes financial sense depends on a single number: your break-even month. Here's how to find it.

Logan Sullivan, Mortgage Advisor

Logan Sullivan

Mortgage Advisor, NMLS 2466872 • Forward Loans LLC

What Are Mortgage Points?

A mortgage point — sometimes called a discount point — is prepaid interest. You pay the lender a lump sum at closing in exchange for a reduced interest rate on your loan. The rate reduction is permanent; it applies for the life of the loan.

You can also pay fractional points — 0.5 points, 1.5 points, whatever the lender's pricing grid allows. Some lenders will also offer negative points, where they pay you a credit toward closing costs in exchange for a higher rate. That's the opposite of buying down your rate.

The Break-Even Formula

The break-even calculation is straightforward. It answers one question: how many months does it take for the monthly savings to equal the upfront cost?

Break-Even Months = Upfront Point Cost ÷ Monthly Payment Savings

If you plan to own the home past that month, buying the point pays off. If you sell or refinance before then, you've lost money on the transaction.

A real example with the exact math

Let's use a $450,000 loan on a 30-year fixed rate.

Scenario: 1 Point on a $450,000 Loan

Loan amount $450,000
Rate without points 7.25%
Monthly payment at 7.25% $3,071/month
Cost of 1 point $4,500
Rate with 1 point 7.00%
Monthly payment at 7.00% $2,995/month
Monthly savings $76/month
Break-even point $4,500 ÷ $76 = 59 months (just under 5 years)

In this scenario, if you stay in the home past month 59 — just under five years — buying the point was the right call. Every month after that, you're ahead by $76. Over a 30-year mortgage, buying that one point saves you just over $22,800 in total interest paid, at a cost of $4,500 upfront. The math works clearly if you're a long-term owner.

If you sell at year 3, you've paid $4,500 upfront and recovered only $2,736 in savings — a net loss of $1,764 on the point purchase.

When Buying Points IS Worth It

There's no universal answer, but these situations generally point toward buying points:

When Buying Points Is NOT Worth It

Points are frequently presented by lenders in a way that makes them sound like a no-brainer. They're not always that. Here's when to skip them:

The Tax Angle

Points paid on a home purchase are generally fully deductible in the year you pay them, under IRS guidelines, if the loan is secured by your primary residence and the points don't exceed what's normal in your area. This changes the break-even math.

If you buy a point and deduct $4,500 in the tax year you close, the after-tax cost of the point is lower than $4,500. At a 22% marginal tax rate, your effective cost drops to roughly $3,510 — and your break-even shortens from 59 months to around 46 months.

Points paid on a refinance are different. They must be deducted over the life of the loan — so on a 30-year refinance, you deduct 1/360th of the point cost each month. Less impactful in year 1.

Consult your CPA before making assumptions about deductibility. The rules have nuances, and your situation may differ from the general case. But if the deduction applies, factor it into your analysis.

A Better Question to Ask Your Lender

Most buyers ask lenders, "Should I buy points?" That's the wrong starting question, because the lender doesn't know your plans. The better approach is to ask for information and then decide yourself.

Here's what to request:

Once you have those numbers, the break-even calculation is simple arithmetic. It takes five minutes with a calculator, and it tells you definitively whether the purchase makes sense for your situation. Don't let a lender frame this decision for you — run the numbers yourself.

I walk through this on every pre-approval call I do. We pull up the rate sheet together, compare the scenarios side by side, and you make the decision based on actual numbers. If it makes sense for your situation, great. If it doesn't, I'll tell you that directly.

On your pre-approval call, Logan will run this exact calculation for your loan — so you're deciding with real numbers from a real rate sheet, not guessing based on general advice. Get started here or call (480) 803-7763.

Logan Sullivan, Mortgage Advisor

Logan Sullivan

Mortgage Advisor, NMLS 2466872 • Forward Loans LLC NMLS 2006640. Serving Arizona and Southern California. Reach Logan at (480) 803-7763 or logan@forward.loans.

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Logan runs the break-even math on every call. No pressure — just real numbers for your situation.

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